The case for space: investing to realise its potential for UK benefit (2023)

Overview

The study by know.space, commissioned by the UK Government’s Department for Science, Innovation and Technology, estimates that the global space economy is rapidly growing and evolving and is forecast to be worth around USD 1.1 trillion by 2045, bringing about commercial opportunities for space nations that are best placed to exploit them. The UK plays an important part in the global space economy and has significant expertise both in business and academia. However, the UK spends less on its space sector compared to the biggest space nations. The UK government spends around 0.05% of GDP on space which is only a fifth of that spent by the US (0.24%). The R&D that underpins the space sector’s growth is largely government funded. The development of space technologies is inherently risky and requires substantial upfront investment; government investment plays a critical role in driving innovation and supporting economic growth.

 

The UK space sector is worth over GBP 17.5 billion in income to the UK economy and employs 48,800 people (source: know.space, Size & Health of the UK Space Industry 2022, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-size-and-health-of-the-uk-space-industry-2022). Since the turn of the millennium, the UK space sector has seen an average long term growth rate of 6.4%. This is significantly outpacing the growth of the wider UK economy and the global space economy (both of which grew at 1.6% on average per year over the period). The space sector’s influence extends throughout the UK economy, with wide-ranging applications across a range of sectors such as transportation, communications, earth observation, meteorology, navigation, and exploration.

 

The study examines the rationale behind the case for the UK Government’s investment in the space industry and argues that the sector excels when measured on the criteria of benefits, impact, return and value for money.

Geographical scope

United Kingdom

Non-quantified impacts

The benefits of the space sector are wide-ranging and substantial, broadly falling into three categories:

  • Economic – e.g. underpinning UK GDP, creating jobs etc.
  • Societal – e.g. tackling climate change, supporting UK sovereignty etc.
  • Scientific and inspirational – e.g. improving our understanding of the universe

 

The majority of these benefits accrue outside of the space sector, often to people, firms and organisations who do not directly pay for space services or even realise that the services they rely on are enabled by space investment.

 

The report highlights that the space sector plays a vital but often hidden role in delivering substantial and varied benefits across government, society and economy, supporting key markets and services which citizens, firms and the government rely on every day. The sector is “critical national infrastructure” that contributes to wider government goals (such as becoming a science and technology superpower by 2030) whilst promoting UK sovereignty and soft power.

 

Satellites provide unparalleled insight into our planet, vital to climate change efforts, as well as enabling cost savings and unlocking commercial opportunities. The report also points to the space sector’s unique capacity to inspire and unravel fundamental questions about our existence, through advances in space science.

Quantifiable impacts

The total value of industrial activities supported by satellite services is estimated as at least GBP 370 billion, equivalent to approximately 18% of UK GDP. Most of these economic activities are supported by multiple different types of satellite services, with Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) alone underpinning GBP 320 billion (15% of UK GDP). The GBP 370 billion reflects the total value of output of those industries supported by satellite services and the authors assume that this output would be significantly disrupted by a curtailment to global satellite services.

 

The sector is highly productive (labour productivity of £144,000 per annum) and R&D intensive (5 times UK average).

 

Investment today not only offers strong short-term return on investment (e.g. 9.8:1 for the UK’s European Space Agency (ESA) investments) but also opens up future growth possibilities for the sector and wider economy.

 

In the UK, the space industry supports over 50 times its output in wider economic activity (GDP).

 

There are six case studies of government investments included in the study. These cover a range of space technologies/capabilities, user groups and benefit types:

 

Levelling up and growing the UK launch industry

GBP 50 million in government investment.

Benefits to the UK include:

  • UK commercial launch market creation – a rapidly growing market: 1,700 satellite launches globally per year predicted worldwide in the period to 2030
  • Levelling up: job creation, Gross Value Added (GVA) and leveraged investment in remote locations e.g. a space cluster developed around Sutherland Spaceport could support up to 740 jobs and GBP 56 million in GVA by 2030
  • Catalytic growth effects across the sector – potential future Orbex production facility could provide up to 400 jobs

 

Ensuring resilience of Critical National Infrastructure

GBP 80 million government investment in space weather forecasting projects & missions.

Benefits to the UK include:

  • Avoided GDP economic loss – GBP 13 billion reduction in costs of a 1-in-100-year space weather event as a result of government investment
  • Avoided GNSS loss – a 5-day disruption to GNSS has been predicted to cause a GBP 5.2 billion of economic loss
  • Avoided supply chain disruption – GBP 20 billion cost per day of disruption for an extreme event

 

Enhancing connectivity across the UK

GBP 400 million government equity investment in OneWeb

Benefits to the UK include:

  • Approximately 400 UK jobs secured – highly-skilled, high-value STEM roles that support and contribute to the UK’s skills agenda
  • USD 2.2 billion in leveraged investment
  • Export revenue potential – the global LEO market is forecasted to be worth GBP 14 billion by 2028

 

Routing Emergency Services to citizens in need

GBP 1.4 billion government investment in Galileo and EGNOS, and funds to facilitate UK uptake of GNSS

Benefits to the UK include:

  • A GVA benefit from lives saved and costs avoided – GNSS worth GBP 5.8 billion per annum to the emergency services, accounting for >40% of the total estimated value of GNSS to the UK
  • Lives saved, reduced injury severity and reduced pain – GNSS allows emergency vehicles to arrive quickly at the location of an incident – additional response time costs GBP 990 per minute
  • Efficient public services – time savings for call handlers & emergency response teams, more efficient vehicle servicing, potential for security and surveillance robotics: benefits already worth GBP 5.7 million per year
  • Increased public safety – greater awareness of police location and efficient use of police time, GBP 31.5 million in benefit from offender GPS trackers, saving police resources and allowing more flexibility

 

Commercialising revolutionary new UK technologies

GBP 65 million HMG investment in Reaction Engines’ SABRE technology.

Benefits to the UK include:

  • GBP 379 million gross economic impact 2015-21 – each GBP 1 million in grant funding yielded a return of GBP 6.3 million
  • More than 600 jobs supported – 250 direct employees, with further supply chain support and employment growth rate of 24% per year
  • GBP 81 million in leveraged investment from BAE Systems, Boeing and Rolls-Royce
  • GBP 10.4 million in commercial revenues from spin-out commercialisation of applied technologies
  • GBP 233 million in spillover impacts – positive externalities: knowledge exchange, licensing of IP, productivity spillovers

 

Automated land monitoring for rural payment schemes

Approximately GBP 1 billion HMG investment in civil Earth Observation capabilities Benefits to the UK include:

  • Operational cost savings for government – efficient data collection, with satellite imagery covering extremely wide areas, saving taxpayer money
  • Increased coverage of monitoring – satellite data enables largescale data collection at a regular frequency (monthly or weekly), compared to manual inspections carried out once a year on <5% of claims
  • Delivering an equitable system, widespread checking of land parcel accuracy leads to fewer errors, reduced fraud and a more equitable allocation of funds

 

Reference

Country

Study type

Economic analysis, Case studies

Economy sector

Education, Water, Infrastructure (Transport), Infrastructure (ICT), Infrastructure (Energy), Health, Tourism, Public Safety and Security, Disaster Risk Management, Retail, Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Land Administration, Design and Construction, Public Sector Local Government, Public Sector Central Government, Maritime, Environment, Agriculture, Geology and Mining, Defence, Meteorology